Bargaining under large risk - an experimental analysis

Güth, Werner ; Maug, Ernst ; Kröger, Sabine

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Document Type: Article
Year of publication: 2009
The title of a journal, publication series: New Zealand Economic Papers
Volume: 43
Issue number: 2
Page range: 105-129
Place of publication: Abingdon [u.a.]
Publishing house: Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group
ISSN: 0077-9954
Publication language: English
Institution: Business School > ABWL u. Corporate Finance (Maug)
Subject: 000 Generalities
Abstract: We present an experimental study of a risky sequential bargaining to model negotiations in risky joint ventures that proceed through multiple stages. Our example is the production of a movie that may give rise to a sequel, so actors and producers negotiate sequentially. We compare the predictions of alternative theoretical approaches to understanding such a game. The game theoretic solution predicts (assuming risk neutrality) that actors are willing to accept wages below their outside option for first films in order to capture the gains from winning lucrative sequel contracts. This prediction is strongly rejected by the data. The data are better explained by either equity theory (equal splits) or by a game theoretic model where actors have uncertain risk aversion. The parameters of the game are calibrated to match data on 99 movies for 1989 available from a case study.

Dieser Eintrag ist Teil der Universitätsbibliographie.

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